The bidding is underway for Amazon’s new headquarters
Usually, Amazon sells stuff
at a discounted price. At the moment it is trying to sell something at
the highest possible price – a second headquarters operation somewhere
other than its hometown of Seattle. That takes in a lot of territory,
and a hundred or so U.S. cities are competing for it. The prize
(according to the company) is 50,000 jobs (most of them well-paid,
six-figure executive jobs) and new construction worth $5 billion.
How
big is 50,000 jobs? According to the U.S. Bureau of labor Statistics,
in September the number of people in Sangamon and Menard counties
employed in the three biggest sectors of the area economy – education,
health care and government – was just over 50,000.
The
company says that it wants a site no more than 30 miles from a
population center within a metropolitan area of more than 1 million and
within 45 minutes of an international airport, preferably one that
offers direct flights to Seattle, New York, San Francisco and D.C. Its
staff needs access to transit – buses, trains, roads, bikeways – and
would like to be near major universities because, well, smart people.
Such a wondrous place exists right here in Illinois, that den of
iniquity that Satan calls home sweet home, but which Illinoisans call
Chicago. City and company would be a perfect match; Amazon’s minimum
criteria reads like a state contract whose specs were written to favor
an inside bidder.
The
talk is that HQ2 would transform Chicago, but those who know it will
tell you that the city has transformed itself in the past 20 years.
Downtown Chicago, newly Europeaninzed, used to be a “nice-place-to-visit
but…” kind of place, but it has grown up and out, becoming a great
place to live for more people than live in Springfield.
In much of Downstate, Chicago’s bid for HQ2 has been treated as a Chicago story, when it is treated at all. This
misunderstands its import. What makes Chicago a better pace to live
makes Illinois a better place to live in; what helps Chicago prosper
helps Illinois prosper, as that city and its suburbs are Illinois’
economic engine.
And
prosper Chicago. Accommodating Amazon would require as many as 8 million
square feet of office space (about 18 Stratton Buildings). For various
reasons, the city at the moment has an astonishing array of large
parcels of developable land available, any one of which could provide
not only the office space but the ground-level retail, residences and
street-level amenities required by evolved creatures like Jeff Bezos’
Amazonians.
In
addition to very cooperative private developers, Amazon would find in
Chicago a subsidy package offered by city and state officials
potentially worth about $2 billion, comprising roughly $1.6 billion in
tax breaks and $400 million in infrastructure
and capital spending. That comes to 40 grand per job, which is a better
deal than most of this kind. (See “Such a deal” from Jan. 26, 2012, and
“Pennies and nickels” from Oct. 10, 2013, at illinoistimes. com.)
However, the state’s EDGE tax credit is not cash out of pocket but is
applied against future income that wouldn’t have existed without the
investment.
Of course,
Bezos knows how to sell a bill of goods; he’s persuaded investors to
put billions into a company that only someday might make a profit. I
don’t think for a moment that the company will generate that many jobs
at HQ2 or that they will all pay that much. As for taxable profits,
nothing about the way Amazon does business suggests that the company is
less creative when it comes to what are usually called “accounting
tricks” (the polite media term for tax fraud) than its corporate
cousins. None of these points argue against trying hard to land HQ2,
only against doing it rashly.
The
hoo-ha about taxpayer subsidies to big corporations obscures an
important truth. The creation story according to people like poor Mr.
Rauner has God creating the heavens and earth and populating it with
plants and animals, but Business creating everything else. This, to
quote John Stuart Mill, is hooey. Consider the real public subsidies
that Chicago offers – the museums and orchestras, the fine universities,
the parks and public lakefront, a revivified riverfront, the splendid
streetscapes, the public art, the road network and (though it is sadly
invisible to most tourists) a fine public transit system. All of it
enriches the public realm, and all of it paid for by public money or by
private money forgiven taxation because it serves a noble public
purpose. We would like Illinois better and care for it more were we to
pause every once in while to appreciate it all. You can bet that Amazon
will.
Contact James Krohe Jr. at [email protected].
NOTE: The holidays beckon, The smart host will have handy a copy of my new history of mid- Illinois, Corn Kings and One-Horse Thieves (SIU Press, 2017) to read aloud to his guests when the fun starts to pall. Available online and from area bookstores.
Editor’s note
At
the annual Chamber of Commerce Economic Outlook breakfast Tuesday, the
expert speaker told leaders of the Springfi eld business community a lot
of interesting and surprising things. Stephen Jury of New York City, a
managing director of JPMorgan Private Bank, said federal debt is high,
though the U.S. economy can sustain higher debt. “The solution to debt
is infl ation,” he said to the audience that hates infl ation, even
though higher prices mean higher tax revenues and more income for
government. “Infl ation is what we need a lot more of in this country.”
Another counter-intuitve piece of economic wisdom he offered, to the
consternation of the crowd – governments need to raise the minimum wage.
“It’s a better alternative than the taxation that will come if you
don’t,” he said. Income inequality is a growing problem. “Head it off at
the pass and do something about it now.” –Fletcher Farrar, editor and
CEO