Gov. Bruce Rauner has said
for the past several days that he’s open to just about any sort of
compromise in order to get school funding reform signed into law.
For
example, he recently told Amanda Vinicky on Public Television’s
“Chicago Tonight” program that there was nothing on his list that he had
to have. “Nothing,” he said when asked to clarify. “Absolutely nothing
has to happen. The only principle we should be guided by is what’s best
for our children, what treats them all the same so they have the best
chance they can at the American dream.”
That
could be a very big caveat. It more than just implies that he intends
to stick to his guns on stripping money from the Chicago Public Schools,
which he contends is given special treatment in the education funding
reform bill he vetoed. The Democrats will most definitely not like that.
But
even if the negotiations among the four legislative leaders do produce
some progress, some folks are still doubtful that Gov. Rauner can bring
himself to sign the bill, or that his new staff can get him to stick to
his word.
If you go
back to 2015, you may remember that after weeks of negotiations over a
stopgap budget and after a tentative deal had been reached, Rauner
decided during the ensuing weekend that he had some additional demands
that would clearly be unacceptable to the Democrats. His top staff
fought back hard, insisting that he couldn’t back out after accepting
terms. Rauner signed the bill.
More
recently, near the end of June, you might recall that Rauner’s office
publicly berated the Democrats for not officially transmitting the
Chicago gun crimes bill to his desk in order to deliberately deprive the
governor of a “win.” The Democrats denied they had any such intentions
and the legislation was quickly sent to Rauner. The governor’s staff set
up a press conference for the very next day, and Chicago’s police
superintendent came down to the Statehouse for the signing ceremony.
Just before he was set to sign the bill, however, Rauner blew up at his communications staff over a single sentence in a Chicago Tribune article
which detailed his battle with Mayor Rahm Emanuel about the sale of the
James R. Thompson Center building. As it turns out, Rauner had misread
the sentence, but the blowup was “like nothing I had seen before,” said
one person who was present.
And
then the governor reportedly had second thoughts about signing the gun
bill, other sources say. Mind you, this was just before the signing
ceremony was supposed to begin.
A
task force inserted into the legislation to help the Illinois State
Police combat violent crimes was what reportedly set him off. Sources
say he flipflopped and wanted to veto the bill. Again, this was minutes
before he was set to publicly sign the thing with Chicago’s most senior
cop on his way to town.
His top staff had to intervene again, and eventually convinced him to calm down and sign the bill.
Most
of those staffers had been with Gov. Rauner since the campaign. They’d
learned over the years how to deal with him and, since they helped get
him to the governor’s office, Rauner trusted them enough to eventually
listen. But Rauner fired some of them when he brought in far-right
Illinois Policy Institute staffers, and the rest quit in disgust.
Nobody
on his current upper echelon staff has a similar personal history with
Rauner. And, so far, nobody on that staff appears to have the ability to
steer him in the right direction. They’re letting Bruce be Bruce, and
that has its consequences.
Rauner’s
former staffers negotiated what started out as a quasi “sanctuary
state” bill for illegal immigrants to a point that was even further to
the right than where the governor
wanted to be. While he is expected to sign the bill as I write this,
Rauner hedged publicly about it during an appearance on the Fox News
Channel, and proponents couldn’t get him to firmly commit to make it a
law.
So, there’s
naturally some informed doubt that the governor will be able to bring
himself to sign something as big and important as an education funding
reform bill. The governor publicly denied last week that the first lady
has become more involved in his administration; by all accounts she most
certainly has and she now may be the only hope of keeping him on track.
This piece of legislation will forever define him, one way or another.
If it’s passed over his veto (in whatever form), he may never live it
down.
Rich Miller also publishes
Capitol Fax, a daily political
newsletter, and CapitolFax.com.