Top folks in the governor’s office said they didn’t quite understand last week why the Senate Democrats and House Speaker Michael Madigan’s spokesman were so upset with them about canceling last Thursday’s leaders meeting to discuss ending the long Statehouse impasse and finishing up an incomplete budget.
Gov. Bruce Rauner’s chief of staff reached out to Rep. Greg Harris (D-Chicago) last Wednesday to see whether he’d finished up a budget framework. Harris, who Madigan refers to as his “chief budget negotiator,” had reportedly made it clear earlier in the process that he wanted to get input from House Democratic membership before moving forward with any budget proposal. He hadn’t yet been able to do that, which led to the decision by the governor’s office to cancel last Thursday’s meeting.
Trouble is, the press release announcing that cancellation was sent at almost exactly the same time as top Democratic staff was informed of the news. And that led to internal confusion and more than a little anger.
“I’m seriously floored by this,” said one clearly ticked off top Dem involved with the negotiations. “Every time we start to make progress they pull the plug.”
Public comments by Madigan’s spokesman (who is not involved with negotiations) were a bit harsh: “Somehow they had it in their heads that we’re going to take over some executive action (by proposing a full budget). I don’t think that’s going to happen,” Steve Brown told the Chicago Sun-Times.
But the real reason the Democrats haven’t presented a plan after almost two years of demanding that Rauner propose one is that if they do lay out an actual spending plan, they’d have to essentially reveal the size of the tax hike they’d prefer, which is why Rauner hasn’t done it, either.
It wouldn’t be difficult for the governor to take the Democrats’ spending proposals, subtract out expected state revenues and then label what wasn’t yet funded as “the Democrats’ tax hike plan.” Or, more likely, “the Mike Madigan tax hike plan,” since the Republicans truly relish whacking the unpopular House Speaker.
That
may not happen, but the complete lack of trust among Statehouse leaders
exacerbated by the governor’s year-round campaign style pretty much
makes that expectation a reality.
After
all, I already get more than a dozen e-mails almost every day from the
Illinois Republican Party slamming individual House and Senate Democrats
for being Madigan’s minions. A “tax hike proposal” from Madigan could
exponentially increase those attacks.
Not
to mention that the governor’s state party sent a video “tracker” to
the Statehouse this month to harass a few politically vulnerable House
Democrats. The party posted video of one somewhat embarrassing encounter
on YouTube. This stuff is, at the least, inanely juvenile and, at most,
darkly autocratic. The governor’s party shouldn’t be paying people to
follow opposing party legislators
around Springfield with a camera. Period. And it could easily escalate
out of control if the other side starts responding in kind.
In
the past, the leaders and the governor would all figuratively hold
hands and jump off the tax hike cliff together. But, in the past, nobody
was blasting out campaign press releases just days after the campaign
ended and hounding legislators with video trackers. So, nobody trusts
anyone enough to do that now.
And
that’s why Senate President John Cullerton went on WTTW’s “Chicago
Tonight” program last week and said, “It’s not a matter of who’s going
first,” but then firmly and repeatedly demanded that Rauner had to be
the one to go first.
Even so, they actually appear to be making some slow progress behind the scenes.
Despite
public comments by Republican leaders that reconstituting the
rank-and-file legislative working groups was a waste of time, a small
group planned to meet last Friday with the governor’s people to engage
on a workers’ compensation reform plan. Cullerton said earlier in the
week that he was confident a deal could be struck, particularly if it
focused on weeding out fraud and abuse. Speaker Madigan said after last
Tuesday’s meeting that he was willing to negotiate on that topic.
Another
small working group was also scheduled to talk about local government
consolidation and state mandate relief. Madigan said he was willing to
engage on that topic as well. Madigan also said last week he was willing
to talk about pension reform, which is another major Rauner demand and
for which Cullerton already has a proposal.
They just need to find a way to trust each other enough to make it all happen. Don’t bet on it yet.
Rich Miller also publishes Capitol Fax, a daily political newsletter, and CapitolFax.com.